Demographics and the demand for higher education /Nathan D. Grawe. (Record no. 87236)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 05486nam a2200421Ki 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field on1013541277
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OCoLC
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20240726105039.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 171130s2017 mdu ob 001 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency NT
Language of cataloging eng
Description conventions rda
-- pn
Transcribing agency NT
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9781421424149
Qualifying information
043 ## - GEOGRAPHIC AREA CODE
Geographic area code n-us---
050 04 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER
Classification number LA227
Item number .D466 2017
049 ## - LOCAL HOLDINGS (OCLC)
Holding library MAIN
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Grawe, Nathan D.,
Relator term Author
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Demographics and the demand for higher education /Nathan D. Grawe.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Baltimore :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Johns Hopkins University Press ,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. (c)2017.
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource.
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE
Content type term text
Content type code txt
Source rdacontent
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE
Media type term computer
Media type code c
Source rdamedia
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE
Carrier type term online resource
Carrier type code cr
Source rdacarrier
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS
File type data file
Source rda
520 0# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. "Higher education faces a looming demographic storm. Decades-long patterns in fertility, migration, and immigration persistently nudge the country toward the Hispanic Southwest. As a result, the Northeast and Midwest--traditional higher education strongholds--expect to lose 5 percent of their college-aged populations between now and the mid-2020s. Furthermore, and in response to the Great Recession, child-bearing has plummeted. In 2026, when the front edge of this birth dearth reaches college campuses, the number of college-aged students will drop almost 15 percent in just 5 years. In Demographics and the Demand for Higher Education, Nathan D. Grawe has developed the Higher Education Demand Index (HEDI), which relies on data from the 2002 Education Longitudinal Study (ELS) to estimate the probability of college-going using basic demographic variables. Analyzing demand forecasts by institution type and rank while disaggregating by demographic groups, Grawe provides separate forecasts for two-year colleges, elite institutions, and everything in between. The future demand for college attendance, he argues, depends critically on institution type. While many schools face painful contractions, for example, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by more than 15 percent in future years. Essential for administrators and trustees who are responsible for recruitment, admissions, student support, tenure practices, facilities construction, and strategic planning, this book is a practical guide for navigating coming enrollment challenges"--
Assigning source
520 0# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. "The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent.Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"--
Assigning source
504 ## - BIBLIOGRAPHY, ETC. NOTE
Bibliography, etc. note Includes bibliographies and index.
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note Machine generated contents note: AcknowledgmentsIntroduction 1. Demographic Headwinds for Higher Education 2. Demographics as Destiny? 3. The Higher Education Demand Index 4. Changing Contours of Population and Aggregate Higher Education Demand 5. Demand for Two-Year Programs 6. Demand for Four-Year Institutions 7. Is Anyone Paying for All of This? 8. Coping with Change 9. Anticipated Higher Education Attendance 10. The Potential for Policy to Affect Attendance Rates 11. Looking beyond 2030 Methodological Appendix Notes References Index.
530 ## - COPYRIGHT INFORMATION:
COPYRIGHT INFORMATION COPYRIGHT NOT covered - Click this link to request copyright permission:
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="b">b</a>
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Education, Higher
Geographic subdivision United States
General subdivision Forecasting.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Education, Higher
General subdivision Economic aspects
Geographic subdivision United States.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Education
General subdivision Demographic aspects
Geographic subdivision United States.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Universities and colleges
Geographic subdivision United States
General subdivision Administration.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Population geography
Geographic subdivision United States.
655 #1 - INDEX TERM--GENRE/FORM
Genre/form data or focus term Electronic Books.
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=1501196&site=eds-live&custid=s3260518">https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=1501196&site=eds-live&custid=s3260518</a>
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942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Online Book (LOGIN USING YOUR MY CIU LOGIN AND PASSWORD)
DONATED BY:
VENDOR EBSCO
Classification part LA.
PUBLICATION YEAR 2017
LOCATION ONLINE
REQUESTED BY:
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-- NFIC
Source of classification or shelving scheme
994 ## -
-- 92
-- NT
902 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT B, LDB (RLIN)
a 1
b Cynthia Snell
c 1
d Cynthia Snell
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Uniform Resource Identifier Price effective from Koha item type
        Non-fiction G. Allen Fleece Library G. Allen Fleece Library ONLINE 07/07/2023 EBSCO   LA227.4 on1013541277 07/07/2023 https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=1501196&site=eds-live&custid=s3260518 07/07/2023 Online Book (LOGIN USING YOUR MY CIU LOGIN AND PASSWORD)